College Football Predictions: Auburn a good bet vs. Mississippi State?
Is Auburn a good bet to cover the spread as a home favorite tonight against Mississippi State?
The Odds: Mississippi State at Auburn, 6:00PM ET, Jordan-Hare Stadium
According to oddsmakers, the Tigers are 8-point home favorites tonight. Auburn opened as a 10-point favorite, but the line was bet down. As for the total, the number hit the board at 49 but has climbed to 51.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
The Bulldogs have covered the spread in eight of their last 11 games played in the month of September. They’ve also been a solid play when failing to cover in their previous game. In those last 10 situations, Mississippi State is 7-3 at the betting window.
Auburn Betting Trends
The Tigers have covered in six of their last eight conference games and are 13-6 against the number in their last 19 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous contest. That said, they’re 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games overall and are 1-4 against the number in their last five home games versus a team with a winning road record.
Our Prediction
Mississippi State was embarrassed last week in Athens and now has to travel for a second consecutive week. Not only that, but the Bulldogs are playing a Tigers defense that has been disgusting thus far. Auburn ranks fourth in the nation in yards allowed, 10th in passing yards allowed, 18th in rushing yards allowed, and is allowing just 11.2 points per game.
The Tigers also seemingly rediscovered their offense last week in Missouri. If Gus Malzahn can get this Auburn running game going, look out.
College Football Week 5 Predictions: Auburn Tigers -8
