MLB Predictions: Will Rockies beat Homer Bailey, Reds on Fourth? 7/4/17
Will the Rockies hand Homer Bailey and the Reds another loss when the teams meet on the Fourth of July?
The Matchup: Reds vs. Rockies, 8:10PM ET, Coors Field
Cincinnati has split over its last 10 games to get to 35-47 on the year. The club has had a difficult time winning on the road this season, going 12-27 away from The Great American Ballpark. As for Colorado, the Rockies are 49-36 on the year and 23-15 at home, but are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
According to oddsmakers, the Rockies are -155 money line favorites tonight. That makes Cincinnati +140 money line underdogs. As for the total, the number currently sits at 12.5 runs.
The Pitching Matchup: Homer Bailey (CIN) vs. Kyle Freeland (COL)
Bailey has made two starts this season and has only pitched 4 2/3 innings. He is 0-2 over those two teams and owns a 27.00 ERA. In his first outing of the year, he allowed eight runs on six hits in an 18-3 loss to the Nationals. He followed up that performance by surrendering six runs on six hits over three innings at home against the Brewers.
Freeland, meanwhile, is 8-6 on the year and owns a 3.84 ERA over 93 2/3 innings pitched. In his last outing, he allowed four runs on seven hits over six innings in a 5-3 loss to the Giants. He struck out just two batters in that performance but walked only one.
Our Prediction
The Reds are winless in Bailey’s last four starts and are 0-9 when he starts during the second game of a series. They’re also 2-7 in his last nine road outings and have dropped 22 of their last 27 games on the road overall. On the other side, the Rockies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games and 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win.
Tuesday MLB Prediction: Colorado Rockies -155
