MLB Predictions: Twins vs. Royals to fall under betting total? 4/30/17
Will the Twins and Royals matchup on Sunday fall under the betting total todayat 2:15PM ET?
The Odds
The Royals opened as -124 money line favorites to beat the Twins but according to oddsmakers, Kansas City is now -130. The Twins, meanwhile, opened at +113 to pull off the upset but are now +118. With Phil Hughes set to face Jason Hammel in the pitching matchup, the over/under sits at 8.5 runs, up from the original number of 8.
Twins have been profitable under Hughes
The Twins have won all four of Hughes’ last four road starts and are 5-1 in his last six starts overall. They’re also 11-4 in Hughes’ last 15 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. Where they’ve struggled to win with Hughes is on the road versus opponents with a losing record. Minnesota is just 1-4 in his last five road starts versus a team with a losing record.
Royals have struggled with Hammels
The Royals are winless at 0-4 in Hammel’s last four starts overall. They’re also winless at 0-11 in their last 11 games against divisional rivals and are 7-19 in their last 26 games overall. Diving deeper, the Royals have dropped seven of their last 10 home games versus a right-handed starter but are 5-2 in their last seven home games.
Our MLB Predictions
The under is 4-0 in Hughes’ last four starts against the Royals and is 17-6-4 in their last 27 meetings between these teams in Kansas City. The total has also fallen under in 14 in the Twins’ last 20 road games and is 15-7-1 in their last 23 games versus a right-handed starter. The under has also cashed in nine of Minnesota’s last 11 road games versus a righty.
On the other side, the under is 6-1 in the Royals’ last seven home games. The under has also hit in 11 of the Royals’ last 14 games overall and is 7-3 in their last 10 games versus a right-handed starter. The under is 6-1 in Kansas City’s last seven home games when it plays an opponent with a winning road record, too.
Sunday MLB Predictions: Twins/Royals under 8.5
