MLB Predictions: Betting total set too high in Rockies vs. Cubs? 6/11/17
Is the betting total set too high in today’s Rockies and Cubs matchup? First pitch is set for 2:20PM ET.
The Odds: Rockies vs. Cubs, 2:20PM ET, Wrigley Field
According to oddsmakers, Chicago is a -180 money line favorite to beat Colorado this afternoon. The Rockies, meanwhile, are +160 money line underdogs to pull off the upset. As for the total, the number sits at 11.5, up a half-run from the original number of 11.
The Pitching Matchup: Antonio Senzatela (COL) vs. Jake Arrieta (CHC)
On Tuesday, Senzatela allowed three earned runs on six hits in a start versus the Indians. He walked one and struck out four batters in his 6 1/3 innings. The 22-year-old threw 68 of his 98 pitches for strikes and is now 8-2 on the year. He improved to 6-1 with a 3.18 ERA across 45 1/3 innings over seven home starts.
Arrieta, meanwhile, gave up two runs in six-plus innings in his last outing, which came against the Marlins on Tuesday. He improved his record to 6-4 on the year and will carry a 4.46 ERA into today’s start against the Rockies.
Our Prediction
The under has cashed in four straight games between these two teams in Chicago. It is also a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams overall.
Meanwhile, the under is a perfect 4-0 in the Rockies’ last four games overall. It is also 6-1-1 in their last eight games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. (Colorado beat Chicago 9-1 on Saturday with the total set at 12.5.)
On the other side, the under is a perfect 7-0 in the Cubs’ last seven games following a loss. It has also cashed in 12 of the Cubs’ last 16 games overall and is 33-15-3 in their last 51 games against National League West opponents.
Sunday MLB Prediction: Cubs/Rockies under 11.5
