NASCAR Predictions: Who will win the Apache Warrior 400? 10/1/17

NASCAR Predictions

The 2017 NASCAR Monster Energy Series waves the green flag on the Apache Warrior 400, the final race before the first cut. Here’s our NASCAR Predictions for this race.


According to the latest oddsmakers, Martin Truex Jr. is favored to win this race, as he has odds of +225 to win. Other shorts odds to win are Kyle Busch (+325), Kyle Larson (+350) and Jimmie Johnson (+600). The Apache Warrior 400 takes place today at 2PM ET from Dover International Speedway in Dover, Delaware.



Kyle Larson doesn’t have a win at Dover in his career, but today seems like a good day for that to change. Larson has always run pretty well at the track, posting an average finish of 8.3 over seven races in his career there. He also has a 99.6 driver rating at Dover. Earlier this year, Larson finished second at Dover and this entire year has really been a breakout performance for him. It would be fitting to see him finally get that win today.


Jimmie Johnson has 11 wins at Dover in his career. That is more than a number of drivers have in their entire careers. This has been his track, as his average finish there is 9.3 over 31 races. His driver rating of 118.3 is far and away the best of any driver. Johnson won the prior race at Dover this season and he could use some momentum heading into the second stage of the playoffs.


Ryan Newman is in desperation mode today, as he enters this race 1 point out of the cut line for the second round of the playoffs. A strong showing can boost him in, or a win can lock it up. He is listed with +8000 odds to win today and I think that is great value. Newman is a three-time winner at Dover with an average finish of 13.6 over 31 races. Newman has a win this year, so he has shown he is still capable of beating this field. I think his need for a strong run and good history at Dover makes him a great dark horse bet.

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