Super Bowl 52 Predictions: Will Patriots Cover Spread vs. Eagles? 2/4/18

Colts vs Patriots

Will the Patriots cover the point spread in Super Bowl 52? They’ll take on the Eagles at 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday night.

The Odds: Eagles vs. Patriots, 6:30 p.m. ET, Super Bowl 52

According to oddsmakers, the Patriots are currently 4.5-point favorites to knock off the Eagles in Super Bowl 52. Philadelphia opened as a 6-point underdog before the number was driven down to 4, then back up to 4.5. As for the total, the number opened at 47.5 but is now up to 48.5 at most sportsbooks.

As of this writing, just over 50% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Eagles to cover the spread. That said, 55% of the money wagered at online sportsbooks is on the Patriots.

Philadelphia Eagles Injury Report

Nick Foles (ribs) is probable and so is linebacker Dannell Ellerbe (hamstring). The Eagles will be without Jason Peters (knee), Jordan Hicks, Achilles), and of course, Carson Wentz (knee), who are all out for the year.

New England Patriots Injury Report

For the Patriots, Rob Gronkowski (concussion) is the big injury news but he’s probable. LaAdrian Waddle (knee), Alan Branch (knee), and Deatrich Wise (concussion) are all probable as well. Marcus Connon (ankle), Nate Ebner (knee) and Dont’a Hightower (chest) are all out.

Our Prediction

Foles has a higher completion percentage and has thrown for more yards per pass attempt than Tom Brady in this year’s postseason. That said, I don’t expect Foles to accomplish that feat tonight. The Patriots need roughly one half to figure out what the opposition’s game plan is. So unless Doug Pederson has two game plans, then the Pats will get to work in the third quarter.

There’s a good chance this game will be tied at halftime and the Eagles could even be winning. But the extended halftime in the Super Bowl allows the Patriots an opportunity to make adjustments and no team is better in that area than New England. Philadelphia’s defense has been outstanding all season but come the third quarter, Brady will figure out how the Eagles are attacking him and the Pats offense and get to work.

Philly has already pulled off two outright upsets this postseason but the win over Atlanta came when the Falcons were traveling for the third time in four weeks and they came just three yards shy of beating the Eagles. The win over the Vikings in the NFC Championship Game was impressive but Minnesota clearly never got over its Stefon Diggs miracle from the previous week. Now that the Eagles don’t have home field advantage, I like them to falter and for the Pats to cover.

Super Bowl 52 Prediction: New England Patriots -4.5

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