San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs, 8/2/2018 Prediction & Odds
The Chicago Cubs have played .500 ball over their last 10 games but they’ll have an opportunity to get over that mark by playing the struggling San Diego Padres on Thursday night. Will the Cubs cash on the runline?
Game Snapshot & Odds
959 San Diego Padres at 960 Chicago Cubs
Thursday, August 2, 2018
8:05 p.m. ET, Wrigley Field
TV: SD (FSSD); CHC (CSNC)
Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Cubs as a -177 favorite. As of this writing, 79% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Cubs to beat the Padres on the moneyline.
Padres’ Erlin to start for Padres on Thursday
Robbie Erlin will start for the Padres on Thursday in place of the injured Luis Perdomo. Perdomo is expected to be sidelined for a few weeks with a right shoulder strain and Erlin will occupy his rotation spot in the meantime. The 27-year-old southpaw owns a 3.47 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 50/6 K/BB ratio over 59 2/3 innings, primarily out of the Padres bullpen, this season.
Cubs’ Montgomery struggles in loss to Cardinals
Mike Montgomery allowed 12 hits and five runs over five innings in a loss to the Cardinals on Friday. Montgomery particularly struggled with the middle of the St. Louis order, as Yadier Molina, Paul DeJong and Marcell Ozuna went a combined 8-for-9 off the southpaw on Friday night. Montgomery was excellent in his last start against the Cardinals on Saturday, but he didn’t fool anyone on Friday as you can see from that statline. He’s scheduled to take the mound on Thursday against the Padres, and he’ll take a 4.03 ERA with just 54 strikeouts in 87 innings into that outing.
MLB Betting Trends
San Diego
The Padres have dropped 15 of their last 21 road games.
Chicago
The Cubs are an excellent 14-5 in their last 19 games played at Wrigley Field.
Prediction:
The under is a perfect 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two teams at Wrigley Field. The under is also 5-2 in the Cubs’ last seven games when facing a left-handed starter and 4-0 in Montgomery’s last four starts coming off five days of rest. Finally, the under is 6-2 in the Padres’ last eight road games when facing a left-handed starter and is 6-1 in Erlin’s last seven starts coming off five days of rest.
The Pick: Padres/Cubs under