San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, 7/7/2018 Prediction
National League West rivals meet again in Arizona on Saturday night when the Diamondbacks host the Padres at 10:10 p.m. ET. Will the over cash for bettors this time around?
Game Snapshot & Odds
911 San Diego Padres at 912 Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, July 7, 2018
8:10 p.m. ET, Chase Field
TV: SD (FSSD); ARI (FSAZ)
Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Twins as a -118 favorite. As of this writing, 60% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Twins to beat the Cardinals on the moneyline. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our MLB Public Betting Page for updated figures on this game.
Padres’ Ross crumbles in loss to Pirates
Tyson Ross was tagged for seven earned runs, seven hits and three walks with no strikeouts over five innings in a loss against the Pirates on Sunday. Ross was really struggling with his location in this one, throwing just 44 of his 79 pitches for strikes, including first-pitch strikes to just 10 of the 24 batters he faced. As such, his ERA mushroomed from 3.32 to 3.78 after allowing a season-high three homers. Long balls have been a killer for him lately, yielding eight homers over his past six outings over 34 1/3 innings after serving up just five in his first 11 outings across 65 2/3 frames.
Diamondbacks’ Ray smashed by Cardinals in last start
Robbie Ray allowed six runs over five-plus innings on Monday in a loss to the Cardinals. The middle innings went well for Ray, it was the bookends that gave him trouble. He allowed four runs in the first, and then after settling down, he allowed back-to-back homers in the sixth before being pulled. He did strike out seven while putting just one run on via walk, but it’s a disappointing start that raises the southpaw’s ERA to 4.89 on the season over 38 1 / 3 innings. Ray will look to rebound when he faces the Padres on Saturday.
MLB Betting Trends
San Diego
The Padres are 10-1 in Ross’ last 11 starts coming off five days of rest.
Arizona
The Diamondbacks are just 2-8 in their last 10 home games despite winning last night.
Prediction:
Friday night’s matchup between these same teams fell well under the 7.5 total as the D-Backs ousted the Padres, 3-1. Still, I’m going to roll the dice on the over tonight. Manny Gonzalez is one of the better over umpires in the league, cashing the over in 37 of his last 56 games behind home plate with four pushes. The over is also 5-1 in Ross’ last six road starts versus the Diamondbacks and is 34-16-1 in the last 51 meetings between these two teams at Chase Field.
The Pick: Padres/Diamondbacks over 8
