Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox, 7/31/2018 Prediction & Odds

Red Sox vs Phillies

The Phillies and Red Sox played 13 innings on Monday night and still only combined for three runs. Will Tuesday night’s matchup between the two teams also fall under the betting total?

Game Snapshot & Odds

975 Philadelphia Phillies at 976 Boston Red Sox

Tuesday, July 31, 2018

7:10 p.m. ET, Fenway Park


Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Red Sox as a -160 favorite. As of this writing, 56% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Phillies to beat the Red Sox on the money line.

Phillies’ Arrieta pitches six in win over Dodgers

Jake Arrieta pitched six innings of three-run ball for a win Wednesday against the Dodgers. The first of the three runs were unearned. Arrieta has now given up a whopping 17 unearned runs this year, more than a quarter of his total runs allowed (60). The Phillies’ defense definitely deserves a high percentage of the blame, but with his strikeout rate way down, Arrieta hasn’t been very good at bailing out the guys behind him.

Red Sox’ Pomeranz shaky in return from the disabled list

Drew Pomeranz wasn’t sharp in his return from the disabled list Tuesday, permitting four runs over 4 2/3 innings in a loss to the Orioles. The left-hander was able to get through the first two frames unscathed, but he hung curveballs to Jonathan Schoop in the third inning and Tim Beckham in the fifth and both of them hit them out of the yard for two-run shots. Pomeranz gave up six hits on the night and walked a pair of batters. The southpaw can’t be trusted on Sunday at home against the Twins.

MLB Betting Trends


The Phillies have won five straight games that Arrieta starts.


The Red Sox are 10-1 in Pomeranz’s last 11 home starts when facing an opponent with a winning record.


With Jeff Nelson behind home plate tonight, this is a perfect opportunity to take the under. In his last 15 games behind the dish, the under cashed in 12 of those contests. The under is also 4-0 in Nelson’s last four interleague games behind home plate and is 9-4-1 in his last 14 Tuesday games behind the dish. Considering these two teams played 13 innings last night and could only muster three runs, I feel like the under is a safe bet tonight.

The Pick: Phillies/Red Sox under 10

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