New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, 6/16/2018 Prediction & Preview
The New York Mets are in a major funk and are in danger of losing their series versus the Arizona Diamondbacks with another defeat on Saturday. Will tonight’s matchup turn low-scoring for bettors?
Game Snapshot & Odds
961 New York Mets at 962 Arizona Diamondbacks
Saturday, June 16, 2018
8:10 p.m. ET, Chase Field
TV: NYM (SNY); ARI (FSAZ)
Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Diamondbacks as a -175 favorite. As of this writing, 74% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Diamondbacks to beat the Mets on the moneyline.
Mets’ Matz not sharp in start vs. Yankees
Steven Matz yielded three runs on five hits over six innings while taking a no-decision in Saturday’s loss to the Yankees. The Mets gifted Matz with a 3-0 lead after one inning, but that would slowly slip away as the game progressed. His first mistake came on a home run ball coughed up to Gleyber Torres in the third inning. That cut the advantage to two runs.
A few frames later, it would be Miguel Andujar doing the damage, cracking a two-run homer in the sixth to tie the contest up. Matz ended his evening having struck out six while issuing an uncomfortable four walks.
This was not the sharpest of outings, but Matz probably deserves a mulligan, here. He’s pitched very well since the end of April, having not surrendered more than three runs in any of his last four starts. He’ll put a 3.53 ERA and 1.26 WHIP on the line in a road date with the Diamondbacks next time out.
Diamondbacks’ Corbin allows five runs in loss vs. Pirates
Patrick Corbin allowed five runs in 5 1/3 innings with five strikeouts in a no decision against the Pirates on Monday. Corbin allowed a run in the first that should never have happened — it scored on an error by Paul Goldschmidt — but he cruised through the next three innings. Things fell part in the fifth, as the left-hander struggled to throw strikes and gave up a pair of run-scoring hits.
Corbin has been excellent this year for the most part, but he’s had a few iffy starts like this. You’ll take em if you have him on your redraft roster, and he’ll help you more often than not in DFS. Corbin will take a 3.10 ERA and 110/25 strikeout-to-walk ratio into his next start against the Mets on Saturday.
MLB Betting Trends
New York
The Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 games versus the Diamondbacks and are winless in their last six games played in Arizona.
Arizona
The Diamondbacks have won 10 of Corbin’s last 14 home starts.
Prediction:
The under is 8-3 in Matz’s last 11 road starts and is 5-2 in his lst seven outings overall. On the other side, the under is 11-4 in Corbin’s last 15 starts after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
The Pick: Mets/Diamondbacks under 8
