NBA Predictions: Will Heat vs. Mavericks Fall Under Betting Total? 1/29/18
Will tonight’s Heat and Mavericks game fall under the betting total? Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET in Dallas.
The Odds: Heat at Mavericks, 8:30 p.m. ET, Monday
According to oddsmakers, the Heat are now 2.5-point road favorites tonight. The game opened as a pick’em before moving to 2.5 at most sportsbooks. The total, meanwhile, hit the board at 200 but is all the way down to 195.5.
Miami enters play with a 28-21 record and is 14-11 on the road. Dallas is 16-34 on the season and 10-17 at home. From a betting standpoint, the Heat are 22-24 against the spread on the year and 15-10 ATS on the road. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are 25-24 at the betting window this season and 12-15 ATS at home.
As of Monday evening, 74% of betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Heat to cover the spread. Meanwhile, 62% of betting tickets are on the over.
Miami Heat Injury Report
Dion Waiters is out for the year with an ankle injury and Rodney McGruder is out with a leg injury.
Dallas Mavericks
Devin Harris (personal) is out, as is Nerlens Noel (thumb). J.J. Barea (oblique), Seth Curry (shin) and Dorian Finney-Smith (knee) are all out as well.
Our Prediction
In the last seven meetings between these two teams, the under is 6-1. In the Heat’s last 11 road games when facing a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400, the under is 10-1. The under is also 4-1 in Miami’s last five games overall, is 12-4 in its last 16 non-conference games and is 25-12 in its last 37 road games.
On the other side, the under is a perfect 4-0 in the Mavericks’ last four games overall and is 5-2 in their last seven non-conference games. In Dallas’ last 52 home games, the under is also 34-16-2.
Monday NBA Prediction: Heat/Mavericks under 195.5
