NBA Predictions: Will Heat stun Rockets as home dog? 2/7/18

Rockets vs Warriors

Will the Heat stun the Rockets as a home underdog on Wednesday night? The non-conference foes will square off at 7:30 p.m. ET.

The Odds: Rockets at Heat, 7:30 p.m. ET, Wednesday

According to oddsmakers, Miami is a 4.5-point underdog tonight. The Heat opened as 6-point underdogs but the line has dropped at the majority of online and Vegas sportsbooks. The total, meanwhile, sits at 211 points.

Houston enters play with a 39-13 record overall and is 19-7 on the road this season. Miami, meanwhile, is 29-25 overall and 13-11 at home. From a betting standpoint, the Rockets are 25-26 against the spread and 15-11 ATS on the road. The Heat are 25-26 at the betting window and a putrid 6-15 ATS at home.

As of this writing, 81% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Rockets to cover the spread. The majority of the money (54%) wagered online is also on Houston to cover. Meanwhile, 92% of the betting tickets and 71% of the money wagered at online sportsbooks for this game is on the over.

Houston Rockets Injury Report

Ryan Anderson is questionable tonight with an ankle injury while Trevor Ariza is out with a hamstring injury.

Miami Heat Injury Report

Justise Winslow is questionable to play due to an illness. Meanwhile, Dion Waiters is out for the year with an ankle injury, Rodney McGruder (leg) is out, and Kelly Olynyk is doubtful with a shoulder ailment.

Our Prediction

The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against the Heat. They’re also just 4-10-1 against the number in their last 15 games against Eastern Conference competition. They are also 2-5 against the spread in their last seven games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Finally, Houston is just 1-7 at the betting window in its last eight games playing on zero rest.

On the other side, the Heat are a perfect 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games versus an opponent with a winning record. They are 4-0-1 against the number in their last five games coming off an ATS loss. They’re also 6-2 at the betting window in their last eight games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and are 20-8 against the spread in their last 28 games on Wednesday.

Wednesday NBA Prediction: Miami Heat +4.5

Popular Predictions & Odds

To Top