NBA Predictions: Will the under cash when Mavericks host Spurs? 12/12/17
Will the under cash when the Dallas Mavericks host the San Antonio Spurs at 8:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday night?
The Odds: Spurs at Mavericks, 8:30 p.m. ET, Tuesday
According to oddsmakers, the Spurs are 5.5-point road favorites versus the Mavericks. San Antonio also opened as a 5.5-point favorite so the line has not moved for this matchup. That said, the total has moved off the original number. After hitting the board at 198, the total is up to 199.5.
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
Tonight will mark the return of Kawhi Leonard, who is probable for this evening. Coach Gregg Popovich said that Leonard (quad) is good to go but will be on a minutes restriction. The Spurs managed to win 19 of their first 27 games this season without Leonard, who is one of the best two-way players in the league.
Danny Green (groin) is also probable, while Kyle Anderson (MCL) remains out.
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
The Mavericks will be without several players, including Dennis Smith Jr., who is out with a hip injury. Nerlens Noel is also out with a thumb injury while Seth Curry is out with a shin problem.
Our Prediction
In the last seven meetings between these two teams in Dallas, the under is 5-2. Meanwhile, the under is 7-0 in the Spurs’ last seven road games. In their last six games playing on two days of rest, the under is 6-0. Finally, the under is 8-3 in the Spurs’ last 11 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. With Leonard back for the Spurs, I feel confident in San Antonio’s ability to play defense successfully.
On the other side, the under is 7-3 in the Mavericks’ last 10 home games. The under is 6-2 in their last eight conference tilts. Finally, the combined score has fallen under the point total in all five of Dallas’ last five games played on Tuesday.
Tuesday NBA Prediction: Spurs/Mavericks under 199.5