Tennessee hosts a crucial Monday Night Football matchup against the Indianapolis Colts tonight. Thanks to Jacksonville’s loss yesterday, the winner of this game will move to 3-3 and into a first place tie in the AFC South. Tennessee is favored by more than a TD, but we’re going to focus on the NFL Week 6 MNF Total Predictions on whether the points go ‘over’ or ‘under’ tonight.
Odds
The line is now Titans -7 after opening at -8, but a majority of the public likes the road dogs in this one with 58% on the Colts. Our focus for the NFL Week 6 MNF Total Predictions in which oddsmakers have set the over/under at 47 after it opened at 49. At first glance, that seems like a lot of points for this divisional matchup but let’s break it down.
The Over
A look at the last six matchups between the teams would suggest ‘over:’
- 2016 – Ind 24 Ten 17, Ind 34 Ten 26
- 2015 – Ind 30, Ten 24, Ind 35 Ten 33
- 2014 – Ind 27 Ten 10, Ind 41 Ten 17
Four of six matchups have gone over tonight’s line of 47. This year Tennessee is 31st in points allowed (28.4), beaten only by Indianapolis who is 32nd (31.8). The Colts also are 30th in the NFL in passing YPG allowed at 294.
The Under
One thing to remember in the NFL Week 6 MNF Total Predictions is that much of those past high scoring matchups were with Andrew Luck and Marcus Mariota under center. Tonight we could see Jacoby Brissett and Matt Cassell as Titans starer Mariota is battling hamstring issues that held him out of last week’s game. Tennessee is 27th in passing yards as it is and loves to focus on the clock-churning running game at 124.8 per game. The Colts are 20th or worse in both rushing yards per game (100) and passing YPG (202).
NFL Week 6 MNF Total Predictions
Quite frankly, this seems like a lot of points to score in the NFL Week 6 MNF Total Predictions based on the condition of the health of both of these offenses. The Colts offense has shown signs of life the past couple weeks, scoring 31 and 26 points in two of three games – but that was against San Francisco and Cleveland. Tennessee is averaging only 12.0 their last two, and their lack of a passing game allows teams to solidify their running front.