MLB

MLB Predictions: Will Yankees vs. Red Sox turn into pitcher’s duel? 7/15/17

Red Sox vs Phillies

Will Saturday’s Yankees and Red Sox matchup turn into a pitcher’s duel?

The Matchup: Yankees vs. Red Sox, 4:05PM ET, Fenway Park

New York enters play having dropped seven of its last 10 games. Their collapse last night dropped their record to 45-42 on the year and 19-25 on the road. As for Boston, the Red Sox are 6-4 over their last 10 games. They’re also 51-39 on the year and 26-14 at home.

According to oddsmakers, the Red Sox are -180 money line favorites. That makes the Yankees a +145 money line underdog to pull off the upset. The total, meanwhile, sits at 8 runs, down from the original number of 8.5.

The Pitching Matchup: Luis Severino (NYY) vs. Chris Sale (BOS)

Severino is 5-4 on the year and owns a 3.54 ERA over 106 2/3 innings of work. He took a no-decision in a 5-3 win over the Brewers. Severino pitched seven innings, allowed three runs on six hits and struck out 10.

Sale, meanwhile, is 11-4 on the year and owns a 2.75 ERA over 127 2/3 innings. He took the loss against the Rays, who beat the Sox 4-1 in Sale’s last start before the All-Star Break. Sale pitched seven innings, allowed four runs and struck out 12 in the loss.

Our Prediction

The under has cashed in four of Severino’s last four starts against the Red Sox. The under is also 4-1 in Sale’s last five starts overall, 6-2 in his last eight outings against the American League East, and is 4-0 in the Red Sox’ last four home games versus a right-handed starter. Given the pitching matchup, this should be one of the lower-scoring games on Saturday’s MLB slate. Grab the number now before it drops again.

Saturday MLB Prediction: Yankees/Red Sox under 8

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