MLB

MLB Predictions: Will Pirates pull off upset vs. Brewers? 6/21/17

Brewers vs Cubs

Will the Pirates pull off the upset tonight against their National League Central rivals the Brewers? First pitch is set for 8:10PM ET.

The Odds: Pirates vs. Brewers, 8:10PM ET, Miller Park

According to oddsmakers, Milwaukee is a -127 money line favorite to win tonight. Underdog Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is sitting at +117 odds. As for the total, the number currently sits at 9.5 runs.

The Pitching Matchup: Trevor Williams (PIT) vs. Junior Guerra (MIL)

Williams enters play with a 3-3 record, a 5.16 ERA, and a 1.32 WHIP. In his last start, he surrendered three runs on four hits in a 9-5 loss to the Cubs. He took the no-decision in that start after striking out three and walking two. Williams followed a 5.59 ERA in April with a 5.06 ERA in May and owns an identical 5.06 ERA in June.

As for Guerra, he’s 1-1 on the season with a 2.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. The Brewers won in Guerra’s last start, although it was a no-decision for him. He allowed four runs on two hits while walking four and striking out three. Walks have been an issue for Guerra in June, as he’s allowed 11 free passes in three starts. Home runs have also been an issue this season, as he’s allowed six long-balls in six games.

Our Prediction

The Pirates have won four of Williams’ last five starts. They’re also 5-1 in his last six outings following a team loss in their previous game. Furthermore, Pittsburgh is 4-1 in its last five games versus a team with a w inning record and have now won seven of its last 10 games overall.

On the other side, the Brewers are just 2-5 in Guerra’s last seven home starts. They have also dropped five of his last seven outings following a quality start in his last appearance.

Wednesday MLB Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates +117

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