MLB Predictions: Will Phillies vs. Nationals be low-scoring? 5/14/17
With Max Scherzer on the hill for the Nationals today, will Washington’s game versus the Phillies be low-scoring?
The Odds
According to oddsmakers, the Nationals are heavily favored on the money line at -200. That makes the Phillies +165 money line underdogs to pull off the upset tonight. This is the second game of a double-header between these two teams on Sunday.
Meanwhile, with Scherzer set to oppose Vince Velasquez in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs. That total was bet down from the original number of 8.
Phillies struggling to win with Velasquez on hill
Philadelphia has dropped 12 of Velasquez’s last 15 starts overall. The club has also lost five of Velasquez’s last six outings versus National League East rivals. The Phillies are also just 1-8 in their last nine games overall and have dropped 21 of 27 games on the road.
Nationals have mixed results with Scherzer
Washington has won 17 of Scherzer’s last 23 starts overall but is just 1-4 in his last five home outings. The Nationals are also 5-2 in his last seven home starts versus a team that owns a losing record. That said, they’re 1-4 in Scherzer’s last five starts coming off four days of rest.
MLB Predictions
The under is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in Washington. It is also 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings overall between the Phillies and Nationals.
That said, the over is 6-1 in Velasquez’s last seven starts overall. The over is also 4-1 in his last five outings versus a team with a winning record. Futhermore, the over has cashed in 18 of the Phillies’ last 24 road games.
On the other side, the over is a perfect 5-0 in the Nationals’ last five games overall. The over is also 6-2-1 in the club’s last nine home games. With Scherzer on the hill, the over is 6-1 in his last seven starts against National League East opponents.
Sunday MLB Prediction: Phillies/Nationals Over 7.5