MLB Predictions: Will Cardinals & Reds go over betting total? 6/7/17
Will tonight’s National League Central matchup between the Cardinals and Reds go over the betting total?
The Odds: Cardinals vs. Reds, 7:10PM ET, Great American Ballpark
According to oddsmakers, Cincinnati is a +125 money line underdog for tonight’s game. That makes St. Louis a -147 money line favorite. As for the total, the number currently sits at 9.5 runs.
Pitching Matchup: Lance Lynn (STL) vs. Bronson Arroyo (CIN)
Lynn allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings last Friday in a team loss versus the Cubs. The big right-hander allowed just two hits on the afternoon, but the four walks hurt him. He owns a 2.97 ERA, which is excellent, but he has struggled with the long ball this season.
Arroyo allowed two runs over six innings in a no-decision against the Braves last week. He surrendered seven hits, including a solo home run to Dansby Swanson. The 40-year-old veteran has now allowed 19 home runs in just 57 2/3 innings this season. His ERA sits at 6.24 through 11 starts in 2017.
Our Prediction
The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams. In Arroyo’s last five starts against the Cardinals, the over is a perfect 5-0 and is 4-1 in his last five home outings versus St. Louis. On the other side, the over is 8-3-1 in Lynn’s last 12 starts versus the Reds.
Meanwhile, the over has cashed in four of Arroyo’s last five home starts. The over is also 13-5-1 in his last 19 outings overall and is 21-7-2 in the Reds’ last 30 games versus National League Central opponents. It has also hit in seven of Cincinnati’s last 10 home games. On the other side, the over is 8-2 in the Cardinals’ last 10 games when playing the third game of a series.
Wednesday MLB Prediction: Reds/Cardinals over 9.5
