MLB

MLB Predictions: Is the total set too high in Blue Jays vs. Red Sox? 9/4/17

Red Sox vs Phillies

Is the total set too high in tonight’s American League East matchup between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at 7:10PM ET?

The Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Red Sox, 7:10PM ET, Fenway Park

According to oddsmakers, Boston is -165 money line favorites to win at home tonight. That makes the Blue Jays +152 money line underdogs to pull off the upset. The total, meanwhile, sits at 9.5 runs.

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto enters play tonight in a massive funk. They’ve lost seven of their last 10 games to drop their record to 63-74 on the year. After making the playoffs last season, the Blue Jays will be watching from home this October. They’re just 28-40 on the road this season.

They’ll send J.A. Happ to the hill tonight against the Red Sox. The 34-year-old veteran is 6-10 on the year with a 3.96 ERA over 113 2/3 innings pitched. In his last start, Happ pitched six innings against the Red Sox in a no-decision. He allowed one earned run on four hits, walked four and struck out two.

Boston Red Sox

Boston took a beating on Sunday night in the Bronx and is just 4-6 in its last 10 games. The Red Sox are still in first place in the American League East, however, with a record of 77-60. They’ve played extremely well at home this season, posting a 40-25 record at Fenway Park.

Their starter tonight is Rick Porcello, who is 9-15 on the year and owns a 4.45 ERA over 176 innings of work. He won his last start, which came on August 30 against the Blue Jays in Toronto. In that game, Porcello pitched 6 2/3 innings, allowed one run on six hits and struck out seven.

Our Prediction

The under is a perfect 7-0 in Happ’s last seven starts against the Red Sox and a perfect 4-0 in his last four road outings versus Boston. The under is also 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Boston.

Monday MLB Prediction: Blue Jays/Red Sox under 9.5

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