Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves, 8/12/2018 Prediction & Preview
The Brewers and Braves split the first two games of their series in Atlanta this weekend. Will the rubber match stay under the total on Sunday?
Game Snapshot & Odds
955 Milwaukee Brewers at 956 Atlanta Braves
Sunday, August 12, 2018
1:35 p.m. ET, SunTrust Park
TV: MIL (FSWI); ATL (FSSO)
Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Braves as a -118 favorite. As of this writing, 67% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Braves to beat the Brewers on the moneyline.
Brewers’ Anderson lifted in fifth inning of last start vs. Padres
Chase Anderson was lifted after allowing four runs in 4 2/3 innings Tuesday against the Padres. Anderson was spotted a four-run lead in the first, but he gave up two in third, one in the fourth and one more in the fifth before being lifted. It’s the first time in nine starts since June 17 that he’s given up more than two runs. Still, since he’s not pitching very deep into games and run support has been an issue, he’s won just two of the nine starts.
Braves’ Newcomb superb over six innings vs. Nationals
Sean Newcomb fanned six while tossing six innings of one-run ball Tuesday, taking a no-decision in the Braves’ 3-1 win over the Nationals. Newcomb was pitching on eight days’ rest after he threw 134 pitches in his near no-hitter and he certainly looked fresh in this one, holding his own in a head-to-head matchup with Max Scherzer. A Juan Soto solo homer was the only blemish on his record Tuesday, as he gave up just five hits and walked two. Newcomb went through a rough stretch but has now bounced back with three straight outings with just one run allowed. He’ll try to keep it going on Sunday at home against the Brewers.
MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee
The Brewers have lost 13 of their last 16 games when playing the third game of a series.
Atlanta
The Braves have won nine of their last 13 games overall despite losing on Saturday.
Prediction:
The under is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Atlanta. The under is also 4-1-1 in Anderson’s last six road starts and is 6-2-1 in his last nine outings overall. Finally, the under is 8-3 in the Braves’ last 11 home games and is 13-3 in their last 16 home contests versus a team with a winning road record.
The Pick: Brewers/Braves under 8.5
