Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins, 7/11/2018 Prediction & Preview
The Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins wrap up their series at 1:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Is the under a safe play for bettors?
Game Snapshot & Odds
915 Kansas City Royals (+188) at 916 Minnesota Twins (-205); 9.5 runs
Wednesday, July 11, 2018
1:10 p.m. ET, Target Field
TV: KC (FSKC); MIN (FSNO)
Public Betting Trends
Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Twins as a -205 favorite. As of this writing, 77% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Twins to beat the Royals on the moneyline.
Royals’ Smith moving into Royals’ starting rotation
Burch Smith will start for the Royals on Wednesday in Minnesota. He’s taking Jason Hammel’s spot in the rotation. Smith holds a 5.40 ERA and has walked 21 over 38 1/3 relief innings this season, although he’s also struck out 39. The 28-year-old has posted strong strikeout numbers when healthy and could eventually become deep-league worthy, but he needs to get stretched out and can’t be trusted yet.
Twins’ Lynn holds Orioles to one run in victory
Lance Lynn fired six innings of one-run ball in a 6-2 win over the Orioles on Friday. It was nice to see after he was hit hard in back-to-back starts. Lynn scattered six hits and walked a pair, with the only run coming via an RBI single from Chris Davis in his final inning of work. He fanned three in the victory and holds a 5.21 ERA through 17 starts on the year. Lynn was trending in the right direction prior to his previous two starts, so there’s still time to improve his standing on the trade market.
MLB Betting Trends
Kansas City
The Royals are 11-44 in their last 55 games versus a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
The Twins are 6-1 in their last seven home games.
Prediction:
The under is 9-4-1 in the Royals’ last 14 road games versus a right-handed starter. The under is also 9-2 in Kansas City’s last 11 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. On the other side, the under is a perfect 5-0 in Lynn’s last five home starts and is 5-2 in his last seven outings overall.
The Pick: Royals/Twins under 9.5
