MLB

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles, 7/23/2018 Prediction & Preview

Red Sox vs Blue Jays

The Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games and after beating the Tigers on Sunday, they became the first team in baseball to reach the 70-win mark. Will they wax the struggling Orioles on Monday night at 7:05 p.m. ET?

Game Snapshot & Odds

963 Boston Red Sox at 964 Baltimore Orioles

Monday, July 23, 2018

7:05 p.m. ET, Oriole Park at Camden Yards

TV: BOS (NESN); BAL (MASN)

Public Betting Trends

Oddsmakers from online sportsbooks currently list the Red Sox as a -166 favorite. As of this writing, 85% of the betting tickets wagered at online sportsbooks are on the Red Sox to beat the Orioles on the moneyline.

Red Sox’ Porcello allows eight runs in loss to Blue Jays

Rick Porcello lasted two-plus innings while giving up a season-high eight runs Friday against the Blue Jays as the Red Sox saw their 10-game winning streak come to an end. It was his shortest outing of the season. The Red Sox were actually leading 6-3 going into the top of the third inning, but Porcello allowed the first five batters to reach before being pulled. He gave up two homers and an RBI double along the way. Porcello walked four batters in the loss and saw his ERA jump from 3.58 to 4.13. It wasn’t the way he wanted to end the first half, but he still owns an 11-4 record.

Orioles’ Gausman serves up 12 hits, five runs to Phillies

Kevin Gausman allowed 12 hits and five runs over five-plus innings in a loss to the Phillies on Thursday. Not really the start Gausman was looking for heading into a break, as he got behind with a pair of two-run innings in the third and fourth before being charged with another run in the sixth. It was his first loss since June 15 and dropped him to 4-7 overall. The right-hander will carry a 4.33 ERA and 1.37 WHIP into the All-Star break.

MLB Betting Trends

Boston

The under is 4-1-1 in Porcello’s last six starts versus the Orioles.

Baltimore

The under is 9-1-2 in Gausman’s last 12 outings against the Red Sox.

Prediction:

The Orioles have struggled to beat the Red Sox with Gausman on the mound. They’re just 1-5 in his last six starts versus the Sox and are winless at 0-4 in Gausman’s last four home outings against Boston.

Meanwhile, the Red Sox have won 12 of their last 13 games versus the Orioles overall. They’re also 18-6 in their last 24 games in Baltimore. For one reason or another, they’re just 2-6 in Porcello’s last eight starts versus the O’s. That said, I’m going to buck that trend and take them on the runline tonight.

The Pick: Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)

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